Post by Deleted on Feb 6, 2015 7:21:48 GMT -8
Currently, their are 6 pitcher categories for which dollar values are assigned in our year 4-6 arbitration process. These are Wins, ERA, Ks, Hlds, Svs, and WHIP. Each category prices up to $6M for the highest achievers because of the recognition that pitchers will generally only have qualifying stats in 4 of the 6 categories (SPs won't have enough SVs or HLDs to qualify, RPs won't have enough Wins or Ks). This equalizes the scales in relation to hitters, who can accrue up to $4M per category but can qualify in all six. Theoretically, the best hitters will make $24M as they would max out 6 categories at $4M per category and the best pitchers would make $24M as they would max out 4 categories at $6M per category. This structure is bound to be very effective at setting realistic Batter and SP salaries. However, it significantly overprices closers and, especially, elite set-up men as they move into year 4-6 of team control.
Here's a hypothetical. Let's say Wade Davis had been in year (5/6) in 2014 as a set-up man for the Royals. He would be due $6M for ERA, $2M for Wins(!), $6M for HLDs, and $6M for WHIP for a whopping total of $20M in 2015! Davis's season was historically good, mind you, but that is one heck of a contract, one that is WAY out of line with any RP, and especially any non-closer RP.
I propose we use a different scale for RPs than we do for SPs. If a RP scale topped out at $4M per category, then Davis would be due something like $13M in 2015, still a hefty contract, but closer to being worth the outlay. Additionally, I would propose that any pitcher making more than half of their appearances as a reliever follows the RP scale. The following scale is what I would specifically propose:
Wins...
8-9: +$1
10-11: +$2
12-13: +$3
14+: +$4
-This would be a rare category for any reliever to qualify for, especially 14+
Saves...
10-18: +$1
18-26: +$2
26-34: +$3
35+: +$4
K's...
120-134: +$1
135-144: +$2
145-154: +$3
155+: +$4
-I call this the Chapman tax. Only the most elite RPs will even sniff 120 Ks.
Holds...
7-12: +$1
13-18: +$2
19-24: +$3
25+: +$4
-There were 10 RPs last year with 25+ HLDs, 23 with between 19-24
ERA (min 50 IP)...
< 2.25 : +$4
2.26 - 2.65: +$3
2.66 - 3.05: +$2
3.06 - 3.45: +$1
WHIP (min 50 IP)...
<1.00 : +$4
1.01 - 1.06: +$3
1.07 - 1.13: +$2
1.14 - 1.20: +$1
Thoughts?
Here's a hypothetical. Let's say Wade Davis had been in year (5/6) in 2014 as a set-up man for the Royals. He would be due $6M for ERA, $2M for Wins(!), $6M for HLDs, and $6M for WHIP for a whopping total of $20M in 2015! Davis's season was historically good, mind you, but that is one heck of a contract, one that is WAY out of line with any RP, and especially any non-closer RP.
I propose we use a different scale for RPs than we do for SPs. If a RP scale topped out at $4M per category, then Davis would be due something like $13M in 2015, still a hefty contract, but closer to being worth the outlay. Additionally, I would propose that any pitcher making more than half of their appearances as a reliever follows the RP scale. The following scale is what I would specifically propose:
Wins...
8-9: +$1
10-11: +$2
12-13: +$3
14+: +$4
-This would be a rare category for any reliever to qualify for, especially 14+
Saves...
10-18: +$1
18-26: +$2
26-34: +$3
35+: +$4
K's...
120-134: +$1
135-144: +$2
145-154: +$3
155+: +$4
-I call this the Chapman tax. Only the most elite RPs will even sniff 120 Ks.
Holds...
7-12: +$1
13-18: +$2
19-24: +$3
25+: +$4
-There were 10 RPs last year with 25+ HLDs, 23 with between 19-24
ERA (min 50 IP)...
< 2.25 : +$4
2.26 - 2.65: +$3
2.66 - 3.05: +$2
3.06 - 3.45: +$1
WHIP (min 50 IP)...
<1.00 : +$4
1.01 - 1.06: +$3
1.07 - 1.13: +$2
1.14 - 1.20: +$1
Thoughts?